0 victory over the Houston Texans. He?injured the thumb on his right throwin | Forum

With a defense and special teams both ranked in the middle of the pack, its clear that the Dallas Cowboys hopes this season rest with an offense that is ranked first in Expected Points Added (EPA) per game and EPA per snap. Cheap Vans Shoes Wholesale . But Dallas is nearing a crossroads at the games most important position. Should they continue to ride rookie sensation Dak Prescott, or lean on veteran Tony Romo?when he returns? Its not as simple as saying, The team has gone 5-1 so far, so lets stick with him. The Cowboys coaches are obviously in the best position to understand each QBs abilities, but it might be wise to add some numbers to the discussion.Prescott has only six starts under his belt, so we dont have a long track record to examine. Theres little doubt hes talented, but when players start out very hot, its very difficult to sustain that level of performance. Usually, many favorable factors have combined to allow such a strong start, and those factors are far from assured to persist. Its not a guarantee, just a strong tendency known as reversion to the mean.To examine this further, I grouped all new starting QBs since 2001 into five quintiles (equally sized groups) according to how well their entire offenses did in their first six starts. Then I compared those performances with how each quintiles offenses did in their next 10 starts. The idea is to look at offenses as a whole, rather than just how the QB himself performs, for two reasons. Dallas has a lot of good pieces around Prescott, and those pieces and his own abilities complement each other. And overall offensive performance is also the thing the Cowboys care about the most -- theyre not in a fantasy league, after all.Prescott is in good company in the top quintile, which includes guys such as?Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Philip Rivers, Ben Roethlisberger?and Cam Newton. But it also includes QBs who faded after hot starts, such as Tim Rattay, Aaron Brooks and Marc Bulger. Trevor Siemian and Carson Wentz, two other notable newcomers to the league, would currently fall into the second-best group.Each of the five quintiles regresses to the mean in a different way, and Prescotts Cowboys would fall into the top quintile that holds on to much of its high level of performance through the next 10 starts. We can expect the Dallas offense to regress similarly, in the manner reflected in the graph below.Accounting for that regression, Prescotts Cowboys can expect to average about .09 EPA per snap, which would still be excellent, about sixth or seventh in the league. For context, over a typical game of about 67 plays, .09 EPA per snap would translate into about +4 net points above the league average (.03 EPA per snap is the league average so far in 2016). But how does this compare with what we would expect from Romo?The Cowboys offensive production during Romos career averages .07 EPA per snap, or about +3 net points per game above average, slightly less than what we might expect with Prescott. But in his last 32 starts, Dallas has performed slightly better, at .09 EPA per snap, or about +4 net points above average per game.There are many considerations we havent accounted for, such as Romos age and associated injury concerns, Dez Bryants absence or presence, or opponent strength. But by seeing how top offenses tend to perform after hot starts under new QBs, we can get a rough approximation of what to expect through the rest of the regular season. The results of this exercise show that, analytically speaking, the Cowboys can feel justified going with either quarterback. Cheap Vans Shoes Outlet . -- There were a lot of firsts for the Edmonton Oilers on Tuesday night. Vans Shoes China Wholesale . Burke is expected to miss two to three months after breaking a finger in the teams third preseason game. Tinsley, a 10-year veteran, spent the last two seasons in Utah, where the point guard averaged 3. http://www.vansoutletcheap.com/ . -- The proud fathers huddled near the Dallas Stars dressing room, smiling, laughing and telling stories while wearing replica green sweaters of their sons team. New England Patriots rookie quarterback Jacoby Brissett started Sunday against the?Buffalo Bills?in place of Jimmy Garoppolo, who was inactive.With Garoppolo missing his second straight game, wide receiver Julian Edelman will serve as New Englands emergency backup quarterback.Kickoff at Gillette Stadium is at 1 p.m. ET.Garoppolo, who sprained the AC joint in his right throwing shoulder Sept. 18 against the Miami Dolphins, was limited in practice all week and was officially listed as questionable for the game.Brissett filled in as the starter for Garoppolo on Sept. 22 in New Englands 27-0 victory over the Houston Texans. He?injured the thumb on his right throwing hand during the game, but he played through it. He was limited in practice all week and was also listed as quuestionable, although his injury isnt considered as serious as Garoppolos. Buy Vans Shoes Wholesale. They are the only quarterbacks on the Patriots 53-man roster until four-time MVP?Tom Brady returns Monday from a four-game suspension stemming from Deflategate.?On Wednesday, Garoppolo said he was improving, and reporters saw him during practice that day throwing light passes about 25 yards down the field. That same day, Brissett downplayed his thumb injury by saying: I played with it, so it was fine. I didnt think about it. Whatever it is you have, you just go out and deal with it.Information from ESPN Patriots reporter Mike Reiss was used in this report. 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