By Evan Duggan
VANCOUVER [url=http://www.teampanthersjerseys.com/...an-McCaffrey-Jersey/]Christian McCaffrey Jersey[/url] , Sept. 6 (Xinhua) -- Despite positive messages comefrom recent NAFTA renegotiations attended by Canadian, Mexican andAmerican trade officials, Canadian trade experts were cautious thata new pact would likely face delays and political speed-bumps.
Canada's Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland joined U.S.Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Mexican Secretary ofEconomy Ildefonso Guajardo to express optimism for a new pact onTuesday, following the second five-day round of NAFTA (NorthAmerican Free Trade Agreement) talks in Mexico City.
The three officials said in a joint statement that they had madeimportant progress across many fronts and expected more progress incoming weeks as the negotiators consult with industry leaders andtheir political masters.
The statement said all three partners "reaffirmed theircommitment to an accelerated and comprehensive negotiation, withthe shared goal of concluding the process towards the end of thisyear."
That optimism seems to fly in the face of the latest rhetoric ofU.S. President Donald Trump who said on Aug. 28 that Canada andMexico were acting very difficult and he was still consideringtearing up the 23-year-old trade pact.
A new NAFTA deal may not come by the end of the year [url=http://www.teampanthersjerseys.com/Donte-Jackson-Jersey/]Donte Jackson Jersey[/url] , saidUniversity of British Columbia (UBC) trade expert, John Ries.
NAFTA has historically worked well for industry and investorsand should have a future so long as Trump's bluster doesn't becomereality, he said.
"I don't think he can [tear up NAFTA]," he told Xinhua onWednesday. "Trump doesn't have the political ability to do anythingreally dramatic because it's going to hurt various people whateverhe does, and there's going to be resistance. I think that NAFTAstays in place."
Ries said the gap between Trump's attacks and Lighthizer'sfeedback feels a bit like a good cop [url=http://www.teampanthersjerseys.com/DJ-Moore-Jersey/]DJ Moore Jersey[/url] , bad cop routine.
"The threat of Trump tearing [NAFTA] up and levying 30 percenttariffs might be a useful negotiating ploy," he said. "But as weknow, Trump does a lot of tweets that his advisors aren't on sidewith... You could also think it's an idle threat."
Trump has so far failed on several fronts, including replacingObamacare and compelling Mexico to pay for his border wall.
"He was going to do lots of things that he didn't manage to pulloff," he said.
Behind the optimism remain several hot spots [url=http://www.teampanthersjerseys.com/Thomas-Davis-Sr-Jersey/]Thomas Davis Sr Jersey[/url] , including the U.S.demand for more access into Canada's market-managed dairy andpoultry industries and its demand to eliminate independent disputeresolutions (known as Chapter 19). The U.S. team is also trying toprotect its "Buy American" position for the auto-parts industry andfor government procurement.
The communique coming out of Mexico City indeed seems like agood sign, said Werner Antweiler, another trade professor at UBC inVancouver.
"Mr. Lighthizer is a competent and an accomplished tradenegotiator, so I see that he has the will to move things along,"Antweiler told Xinhua. "His political masters in Washington [url=http://www.teampanthersjerseys.com/Greg-Olsen-Jersey/]Greg Olsen Jersey[/url] , that'sa different matter."
He said the expectations in the White House may not align withthe better senses of Lighthizer and his team.
"If Mr. Trump actually tried to [pull out of NAFTA] through anexecutive order, it will really send the message that he is notreally keen on accomplishing anything in the negotiations," hesaid. "He is just essentially trying to blackmail the other partiesto do something."
Antweiler, however, remains optimistic that a new deal will getdone. "Because essentially [url=http://www.teampanthersjerseys.com/Kawann-Short-Jersey/]Kawann Short Jersey[/url] , the legal authority to negotiate tradeagreements and to implement them lies with Congress."
The next round of talks is set for Ottawa on Sept. 23-27.
As for Canada's negotiation team, Antweiler had some advice.
"They are on the right track by furthering a progressiveagenda," he said. "Let's own the process. Let's not be pushed bythe U.S. Let's basically try to set our agenda of what we want tosee in the renegotiations." Enditem
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